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SP

SOUTH PLAINS FINANCIAL, INC. (SPFI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered a clean beat operationally: diluted EPS rose to $0.96 versus $0.66 in Q3 and $0.61 in Q4 2023, with NIM expanding 10 bps to 3.75% on lower deposit costs; net income increased to $16.5M, and efficiency improved to 57.5% .
  • Deposit cost relief and disciplined liquidity drove margin gains; average cost of deposits fell 18 bps sequentially to 229 bps, while loan yields held at 6.69% despite rate cuts and payoff mix shifting away from low-rate loans .
  • Credit metrics remained stable: ACL/Loans at 1.42%, NPA/Assets at 0.58%, and annualized NCOs at 0.11%; loans HFI grew $17.7M in the quarter as CRE owner-occupied growth offset payoffs .
  • Management guides to low–mid single-digit loan growth for FY2025 and expects NIM to stabilize with potential incremental improvement; near-term (Q1 2025) noninterest expense to normalize toward Q3 levels; dividend maintained at $0.15/share and buyback capacity in place .
  • Catalysts: continued deposit repricing, pipeline conversion in major metros (Dallas/Houston/El Paso), mortgage servicing rights fair value tailwinds (+$0.07 EPS in Q4), and potential selective M&A optionality given robust capital ratios (CET1 13.53%, TCE/TA 9.92%) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and earnings leverage: NIM rose to 3.75% on lower deposit costs (2.29% total cost of deposits; 3.12% cost on interest-bearing), driving net interest income to $38.5M; “rate cuts in our case will likely help our NIM… we should still see minor improvements in the NIM” .
  • Pipeline strength and loan growth: loans HFI increased $17.7M q/q, with $9M growth in major metros to $1.06B; “underlying loan demand has been strong… pipeline at the highest levels since mid-2022” .
  • Noninterest income mix pivot: mortgage MSR fair value adjustment added ~$3.5M to mortgage revenues and ~$0.07 EPS after-tax; disciplined expense management improved efficiency to 57.5% .

What Went Wrong

  • Elevated payoffs constrained loan growth: Q4 growth was modest as several clients experienced liquidity events leading to asset sales and debt reduction; management expects payoffs may persist into Q1/Q2 .
  • Deposit balances declined: total deposits fell $94.8M q/q due to seasonal escrow declines (~$35M) and planned ~$50M sweep reductions, lowering NIB balances and NIB mix to 25.8% .
  • AOCI pressure and TBV per share: book value fell to $26.67 on AOCI declines from higher long-term rates; TBV per share decreased to $25.40 q/q despite stronger earnings .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Interest Income ($MM)$35.162 $37.294 $38.548
Noninterest Income ($MM)$9.146 $10.635 $13.319
Net Income ($MM)$10.324 $11.212 $16.497
Diluted EPS ($)$0.61 $0.66 $0.96
Net Interest Margin (%)3.52% 3.65% 3.75%
ROAA (% annualized)0.99% 1.05% 1.53%
Efficiency Ratio (%)68.71% 68.80% 57.50%
Average Cost of Deposits (bps)224 247 229
Yield on Loans (%)6.29% 6.68% 6.69%
Cost of Interest-Bearing Deposits (%)3.14% 3.36% 3.12%

Segment and balance sheet mix

Loans HFI ($MM)12/31/202312/31/2024
Commercial Real Estate$1,081.1 $1,119.1
Commercial – Specialized$372.4 $389.0
Commercial – General$517.4 $557.4
1–4 Family Residential$534.7 $566.4
Auto Loans$305.3 $254.5
Other Consumer$74.2 $64.9
Construction$129.2 $103.9
Total Loans HFI$3,014.2 $3,055.1

KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Loans HFI ($MM)$3,014.153 $3,037.375 $3,055.054
Deposits ($MM)$3,626.153 $3,719.360 $3,620.876
Noninterest-Bearing Deposits ($MM)$974.201 $998.480 $935.510
NPLs ($MM)$5.178 $24.693 $24.023
NPA/Assets (%)0.14% 0.59% 0.58%
ACL/Loans (%)1.41% 1.41% 1.42%
Net Charge-Offs (annualized, %)0.08% 0.11% 0.11%
Tangible Common Equity / Tangible Assets (%)9.21% 9.77% 9.92%

Estimates vs. Actuals (S&P Global consensus)

MetricQ4 2024 ConsensusQ4 2024 Actual
Diluted EPS ($)N/A (consensus unavailable at time of report)$0.96
Revenue (proxy: NII + Noninterest Income, $MM)N/A (consensus unavailable at time of report)NII $38.548; Noninterest $13.319

Note: Wall Street consensus data from S&P Global was unavailable at the time of retrieval due to vendor rate limits; therefore estimate comparisons are qualitative.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Loans HFI GrowthFY2025Not previously quantifiedLow to mid-single-digit growthInitiated
Net Interest MarginFY2025Not previously quantifiedStabilize with potential incremental improvementConstructive
Noninterest ExpenseQ1 2025Not previously quantified“More in line with Q3” levelRaised vs Q4 low base
Deposit CostsQ1 2025Not previously quantified“Will still come down just a little bit”Lowering
Loan Growth PaceQ1 2025Not previously quantified“Relatively flat” given seasonal ag paydowns and elevated payoffsCautious near-term
DividendQ1 2025 (paid Feb 18)$0.14 (prior)$0.15 per shareIncreased/maintained trajectory
Share Repurchase ProgramThrough Feb 26, 2025$10M program in placeBoard to consider renewal; activity likely mutedMaintained optionality

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Q-2)Q3 2024 (Q-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
NIM trajectoryNIM 3.63%; deposit competition easing NIM 3.65%; cost pressures easing; supportive outlook NIM 3.75%; expect stabilization/slight improvement Improving
Deposit costs243 bps avg cost 247 bps 229 bps; continued declines expected Falling
Loan growth/pipeline+$82.5M q/q; robust production -$56.9M q/q on payoffs; pipeline strongest in 2 years +$17.7M q/q; pipeline highest since mid-2022 Building, payoffs offsetting
Mortgage/MSR dynamicsMSR FV relatively flat, volumes down MSR FV down; noninterest income lower MSR FV +$3.5M; +$0.07 EPS Positive in Q4
Indirect auto portfolioBalances down; managed credit Down $18M; balances ~$253.5M Stabilized ~$236M; 30+ DPD 47 bps Stabilizing
Credit qualityMultifamily nonaccrual emerged Modified; improving metrics; NPA 0.59% NPA 0.58%, ACL 1.42%; NOO CRE detailed Stable
Capital & distributionsStrong ratios; TCE/TA up CET1 13.25% CET1 13.53%; dividend $0.15; buyback optionality Robust
M&A postureExpect more activity under new administration; disciplined, high hurdles Monitoring

Management Commentary

  • “We will never sacrifice credit quality for loan growth, and I'm very pleased with the continued strong credit quality of our loan portfolio as we enter 2025.” — Curtis Griffith .
  • “I would hope we could keep [NIM] where it's at and hopefully incrementally improve… deposit costs will still come down just a little bit… loan yields may trend down slightly.” — Steven Crockett .
  • “Our pipeline is much better than it was this time last year… we feel optimistic about it.” — Brent Bates .
  • “Fourth quarter earnings were positively impacted by $0.07 per share, after tax, for the fair value adjustment of the mortgage servicing rights.” — Steven Crockett .
  • “We expect to deliver low to mid-single digit loan growth for the full year 2025.” — Curtis Griffith .

Q&A Highlights

  • NIM outlook: Management expects stabilization with potential incremental improvement as deposit costs continue to decline and liquidity positioning helps avoid “overpricing on the cost side” .
  • Loan yields dynamics: New originations coming on around ~7%, while fixed-rate loans rolling off were often in high-4s to 5s, helping average yields hold; some higher-yield payoffs also occurred .
  • Payoffs and pipeline: Elevated payoffs tied to client liquidity events may persist into Q1/Q2, but production is expected to outpace paydowns; pipeline notably stronger versus last year .
  • Credit update: Previously highlighted multifamily nonaccrual is paying and progressing per plan; credit outlook remains constructive .
  • Capital allocation/M&A: Dividend maintained; buyback optionality remains but activity likely muted; more M&A opportunities anticipated, but high hurdle for deals with minimal dilution and solid earn-back .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of retrieval due to vendor rate limits; therefore, numeric comparisons to Street EPS/revenue were not possible. Actual Q4 metrics indicate a directional beat versus typical seasonal patterns given NIM expansion, cost discipline, and MSR FV tailwinds .
  • Expect estimate revisions to reflect improved margin trajectory, noninterest income contributions from MSR, and cautious near-term loan growth (flat in Q1, building thereafter) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin tailwind intact: sequential NIM expansion to 3.75% on falling deposit costs, with management positioned for stabilization/slight improvement — supportive for NII and EPS trajectory .
  • Loan growth visibility: FY2025 guide to low–mid single-digit growth with a strong pipeline in major metros; watch near-term headwinds from elevated payoffs in Q1 .
  • Credit steady amid cycle: ACL/Loans at 1.42%, NPA/Assets 0.58%; NOO CRE exposures have low estimated LTVs (income-producing ~53%; office ~56%), supporting resilience .
  • Earnings quality: Efficiency ratio improved to 57.5% due to lower personnel and mortgage commissions; MSR FV added $0.07 EPS — monitor sustainability as rates evolve .
  • Capital and distributions: CET1 13.53%, TCE/TA 9.92%; $0.15 dividend continues; buyback optionality provides flexibility in volatile markets .
  • Tactical focus: Expect deposit repricing benefits to persist into Q1; watch NIB mix and deposit trends as liquidity is added to match loan growth .
  • Medium-term thesis: Community bank with disciplined underwriting, improving margin profile, balanced revenue mix, and optionality for selective M&A — set up for EPS compounding as loan growth converts and cost of funds drifts lower .

References: Q4 earnings press release and 8‑K materials , 8‑K with exhibits and dividend , Q4 earnings call transcripts , prior quarter releases for trend analysis .